My Prediction For The Canelo Alvarez and Erislandy Lara Fight Tonight on Showtime PPV


Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (43-1-1, 31 KOs) and Erislandy “The American Dream” Lara (19-1-2, 12 KOs) both made weight yesterday weighing in at 155lbs for their highly anticipated showdown tonight on Showtime PPV live at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas. This fight has the potential to be a candidate for fight of the year. They have two common opponents, Alfredo Angulo and Austin Trout. Canelo won by TKO 10 over Angulo back in March of this year and won a unanimous decision over Trout in April of 2013. Lara also won by TKO 10 over Angulo in June of 2013 and a unanimous decision over Trout in December of 2013. The difference is that Lara struggled with Angulo, being knocked down twice in the process. The fight was stopped due to a bad cut over Angulo’s eye. Canelo made easy work of Angulo starting from the first round. It was a shut out for Canelo until the referee stopped it because of the punishment that Angulo was taking. But then we have Trout, whom Lara made easy work of and Canelo had more of a struggle. The fight was much closer than the judges scored it. Canelo scored a knock down which pretty much was the difference in the fight in my opinion. As they say, styles make fights.

 Lara is a slick southpaw with a 75 inch reach, and he is very capable of being able to outbox the orthodox Canelo. For him to win, his best chance is to try and control the fight with his jab, being that he will have a 4 ½ reach advantage.  Canelo has a 70 ½ inch reach. Lara needs to box and move and not get caught up in a slug fest with the heavier handed Canelo.  Canelo has a good jab and an awesome left hook. For him to win, I think he needs to go to the body of Lara to slow down his movement. I don’t think he gets enough credit for his boxing skills either. My thing is I have seen more consistency with Canelo than Lara. I have seen Lara have more rough times more than I have seen him comfortable but he has also looked great at times. Canelo has pretty much dominated all of his opponents except for Floyd Mayweather, Jr., his only loss. I think that both guys will have their moments. Lara is a very dangerous opponent for Canelo. If it goes to the scorecards, it may be some controversy. The only way I see Lara winning a decision is he will have to dominate every round and maybe even get a knockdown or two. We see how the judges scored the Canelo/Mayweather fight, and I couldn’t find one round that Canelo dominated. Canelo will also have the crowd on his side, so they will be screaming for everything that he does, whether the punches land or not. I am very excited about this fight. This is a fight where it’s pretty much 50/50 and will be a coming out party for the winner.

My official prediction is Saul “Canelo” Alvarez by unanimous decision.

You can follow me on Twitter @SpecialKboxing

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Comment by BoxingSocialist on July 12, 2014 at 1:17pm

Nice write up

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